Window: Jan 15 – Feb 3, 2026

This window reflects major availability shifts and high-signal impact surges — not a full box-score audit for every Top-40 prospect.

Major Movers

Darryn Peterson — 2 → 1 (signature stretch / lead-creator impact)
AJ Dybantsa — 1 → 2 (top swap; not a fall)
Jayden Quaintance — 9 → 15 (availability / shutdown signal)
Keaton Wagler — 62 → 32 (historic production / forced entry)
Locked-in starter minutes plus a sustained efficiency spike over the last 8 games made this a forced entry.

Secondary Movers (slotting + stability)

Caleb Wilson — 6 → 5 (stability)
Nate Ament — 7 → 6 (stability)
Mikel Brown Jr. — 5 → 7 (volatility / missed-time context)
Darius Acuff Jr. — 11 → 9 (lead-guard surge)
Meleek Thomas — 12 → 11 (slotting)
Flory Bidunga — 13 → 12 (slotting)
Hannes Steinbach — 14 → 13 (slotting)
Boogie Fland — 15 → 14 (slotting)

Everyone Else (HOLD)

Cameron Boozer — 3 → 3
Koa Peat — 4 → 4
Chris Cenac Jr. — 8 → 8
Jalen Haralson — 10 → 10
JT Toppin — 16 → 16
Coen Carr — 17 → 17
Kingston Flemings — 18 → 18
Donnie Freeman — 19 → 19
Isaiah Evans — 20 → 20
Aday Mara — 21 → 21
Malachi Moreno — 22 → 22
Brayden Burries — 23 → 23
Braylon Mullins — 24 → 24
Bennett Stirtz — 25 → 25
Alijah Arenas — 26 → 26
Dame Sarr — 27 → 27
Morez Johnson Jr. — 28 → 28
Tounde Yessefou — 29 → 29
Dash Daniels — 30 → 30
Solo Ball — 31 → 31

Chain Reaction (Wagler Entry)

Because Wagler entered at #32, the following prospects were bumped down one slot:

Labaron Philon — 32 → 33
Taylor Bol-Bowen — 33 → 34
Ian Jackson — 34 → 35
Karim Lopez — 35 → 36
Miikka Muurinen — 36 → 37
Michael Ruzic — 37 → 38
Cayden Boozer — 38 → 39
Patrick Ngongba II — 39 → 40

Why the Board Moved (Jan 15 – Feb 3)

Keaton Wagler into the Top-40

Wagler’s production against real competition became too loud to ignore — he didn’t “climb,” he forced entry. When a player is carrying starter minutes while also spiking efficiency, the board has to respond.
This entry is intentionally conservative — Wagler’s signal is strong enough that further upward movement is on the table if the role + efficiency stretch holds. If this production sustains into the next window, a Top-25 placement becomes a real conversation.

Darryn Peterson to #1

Peterson’s window reinforced him as the most stable high-usage creator in the class — the type of scorer who bends defenses without needing ideal conditions. The minutes restriction matters, but the injury context appears soft-tissue related rather than structural.

AJ Dybantsa to #2

This wasn’t a fall. AJ remains the top long-term bet in the class, but this specific window favored Peterson’s repeatable lead-creator profile and nightly shot-creation stability.

Jayden Quaintance down

Availability matters. The shutdown/health signal forced a short-term correction regardless of talent level. This is not a long-term indictment — it’s a board response to uncertainty.

Mikel Brown Jr. — 5 → 7

This window favored stability. Wilson and Ament held steadier roles and impact while Brown’s missed-time/volatility context created enough uncertainty to justify a temporary slide.

Notes

• This update window did not trigger broad reshuffling — it was defined by a top swap, a shutdown, and one forced entry.
• The chain reaction movement from 33–40 is mechanical, not evaluative.